Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.020328 0.022575 0.024820 0.027225 0.029723 0.032236 0.034951
2025-02-16 0.016017 0.019574 0.023260 0.027332 0.031678 0.036151 0.041084
2025-02-23 0.012960 0.017311 0.021965 0.027237 0.032979 0.038989 0.045708
2025-03-02 0.010542 0.015398 0.020756 0.026962 0.033837 0.041129 0.049369
2025-03-09 0.008696 0.013907 0.019831 0.026830 0.034699 0.043137 0.052755
2025-03-16 0.006863 0.012231 0.018543 0.026161 0.034852 0.044271 0.055095
2025-03-23 0.005717 0.011267 0.017991 0.026248 0.035778 0.046191 0.058230
2025-03-30 0.004510 0.010088 0.017091 0.025858 0.036102 0.047389 0.060518
2025-04-06 0.003347 0.008818 0.015986 0.025155 0.036010 0.048072 0.062191
2025-04-13 0.002172 0.007331 0.014501 0.023917 0.035236 0.047939 0.062909
2025-04-20 0.001770 0.006968 0.014437 0.024381 0.036426 0.050006 0.066063
2025-04-27 0.001178 0.006157 0.013719 0.023998 0.036586 0.050875 0.067847
2025-05-04 0.000515 0.005016 0.012561 0.023146 0.036320 0.051416 0.069461
2025-05-11 0.000215 0.004454 0.012204 0.023332 0.037337 0.053487 0.072873
2025-05-18 0.000022 0.003820 0.011673 0.023257 0.038013 0.055147 0.075805
2025-05-25 NaN 0.003172 0.011039 0.023001 0.038438 0.056488 0.078349
2025-06-01 NaN 0.002648 0.010533 0.022879 0.038998 0.057965 0.081027
2025-06-08 NaN 0.001995 0.009697 0.022253 0.038899 0.058638 0.082756
2025-06-15 NaN 0.001663 0.009387 0.022334 0.039668 0.060323 0.085637
2025-06-22 NaN 0.001233 0.008790 0.021970 0.039848 0.061290 0.087668
2025-06-29 NaN 0.000791 0.008024 0.021314 0.039627 0.061755 0.089099
2025-07-06 NaN 0.000344 0.006971 0.020160 0.038724 0.061372 0.089517
2025-07-13 NaN 0.000268 0.006962 0.020593 0.039882 0.063473 0.092831